Monthly Archives: May 2014

Betting tips for Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid

Predicted line-ups:

Real Madrid: Casillas; Carvajal, Ramos, Pepe, Marcelo; Di Maria, Illarramendi, Modric; Bale, Benzema, Ronaldo.

Gareth Bale and Cristiano Ronaldo have recovered from their injuries and will be fit for Saturday, while Pepe and Karim Benzema remain slight doubts, but are likely to be featured.

Xabi Alonso will miss out due to suspension.

Atletico Madrid: Courtois; Juanfran, Miranda, Godin, Luis; Turan, Tiago, Gabi, Koke; Villa, Gracia.

Atletico confirmed that Arda Turan and Diego Costa will be included in the squad, as both have returned to training on Thursday.

Costa, who went to see ‘placenta doctor’ Marijana Kovacevic in a bid to be match fit, is likely to start on the bench, while Turan is tipped to be fit enough for a starting berth.

Betting Tip:

When Europe’s finest footballers meet on Saturday in Lisbon for the Champions League final, history will be made long before Dutch referee Bjorn Kuipers blows the starting whistle.

Never before have two teams from the same city faced each other in any of the European Cup finals. Moreover, this is only the second time an all Spanish Champions League final will be held, after Real and Valencia met back in 2000 in Stade de France in Paris.

For Atletico, these past few days seem like a story taken from a fairytale.

After managing to break the 10 year old Barca/Real duopoly in La Liga and winning the Championship last week, they are now given the opportunity to place the cherry atop an already sensational season and challenge their most bitter rival. Madrid is no longer an undisputed Real fortitude.

Earlier this week, Los Blancos boss Carlo Ancelotti had confirmed that both of his superstars, Gareth Bale and Cristiano Ronaldo will be fit for the final, while Xabi Alonos will have to miss with a suspension.

Diego Simeone is still hoping Diego Costa and Arda Turan will be fit on time for Saturday’s clash, but it’s not looking good as of today. Although both have returned to training ahead of Saturday, it appears only Turan could make an appearance in the starting lineup, while Costa – even if fit – will start on the bench. Raul Garcia is likely to replace the Rojiblancos top scorer up front.

Real will be looking to end their 12 year drought and win their 10th Champions League/European Cup title, while Atletico will attempt to add a further sensation to their resume and bag their first.

Sit back. It should be a cracker!

Prediction: Real Madrid 2 – Atletico Madrid 1

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Some essential facts to help with online betting:

Real Madrid have been in 12 previous finals, winning 9 and losing 3.

The last time Real Madrid lifted the Champions League Trophy was back in 2002 when they beat Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 at Hampden Park in Scotland.

Real Madrid have a goal per match average of 3.08, a full goal more than Atletico Madrid with 2.08.

Atletico Madrid have never won a Champions League title.

From 31 meetings, Atletico have won only 9.7% of the time, Real Madrid won 80.6% of the time.

Horse Betting Approaches

Now, of course, there are many races, which qualify here:

  • Slower ground and high handicap
  • A jockey change to an inexperienced jockey, jockey with a win percentage or below 5%
  • Strong Step up in class when another horse also has potential.
  • Long pause and decent competition in the race
  • Long run in lost race

The selection process must therefore be carefully and Staking vote.

Staking on Lay

The following plans nearly 1:1 on the Lay Bets transferred:

  • % Of the bank – always 1%, 2%, etc. of the current bank as use, or always possible loss x% of the bank
  • Solid bet for each bet, or fixed risk of loss on each bet.
  • La Boucherre plan

Other approaches, or modified approaches

The first approach is similar to the retrieval-staking plan: Take back a sum X, wants to win it. Exactly this sum as it is now used, as it always wins double his bet. If you win the bet, you start again at zero, you lose it, and it is next again the sum X + the lost sum. This is repeated until you have a winner. Disadvantage is that, if you are unlucky and two or three bets lose overlap, it suffered huge losses. Even at a rate of 4 the lost only 2 bets and expected profit would be € 10 € 200 loss. Respectively, they are at higher rates higher losses. Those who can afford it can, of course, horses with rates beyond the 70 Layen. This win only rarely and rarely predictable race.

The staking plan is based on a gradation of use after the possible loss, the liability:

  • Under 3.5 – Lay with 1% of the bank
  • From 3.6 to 7.4 – Lay with 0.6% of the bank
  • From 7.5 to 11 – Lay with 0.4% of the bank
  • Ratios above 11 are ignored
  • The stakes are here daily if you win
  • Lose, however, that are stakes only from a loss of 35% of the initial bank adapted. Here one starts again with 1% of the stakes, and it increases and decreases days after won him again after lost 35%.

Betting Strategy: the Surebet

The simplest strategy in sports betting is to place exclusively surebets. As Surebet refers to a sports bet. In general, the bet on a sporting event can be placed, for which there are only 2 possible outcomes, such as gain or loss of a team. The Surebet exploits variations in the ratios of various sports books, must therefore be placed at different operators. For a sporting event for which there are 2 possible outcomes are thus 2 bets from different providers required. Football betting is normally not directly suitable for Surebets as a game usually can have 3 possible outcomes: home win, draw or away win. Almost all sports betting sites offer However, the so-called over / under bets. The sports enthusiast can live here on the sum of the goals scored in a game.

Curiously, the total number of goals is always given as half of the number, e.g. over 3.5 goals or under 1.5 goals. Thus, only 2 outputs are possible because in a football game never 3.5 or 1.5 goals can be achieved. That is what makes the over / under bet, a good candidate for Surebets.

If you now find a sportsbook that for a game starting with total over 1.5 goals offering a rate of 2.10, and at the same time find another bookmaker, the one feature output of less than 1.5 goals pays a rate of 2.05, did you tinkered one Surebet. No matter how the game starts, you will always make profit if you both bookmakers betting the same amount. In other words, there is sports bet only 2 possible outcomes, and offer two different providers for each output, a ratio above 2.00, it certainly wins.

Even if the ratio is below 2.00 will have a page on a surebet is possible. In order to stay in the example above, we take on the fictional Bwin for the match output of less than 1.5 goals a quota of 1.40 offers. On the other hand, Betfair promises output over 1.5 goals at odds of 3.75. Bet you are now € 100 at Bwin and 37 euros at Sport bet, the following variants are possible. The game ends with 0 or gates with 1 goal.

In this case, you win at Bwin 140 euros of which you have to deduct 100 euros used. Net income so 40 euros. The bet at Interwetten and lost her sets 37 euros in the sand. Total profit so 3 euros. Conversely, it looks like when the game 2 goals or more can be achieved.

Then your application is 100 euros at Bwin are gone but at Interwetten you win 138.75 euros.Again, the use must be deducted, so that still remain about 101.75 euros net income. When she with the loss of at Bwin against expects her is 1.75 euros in the black.

Betting tips for Arsenal v Hull City: Predicted line-ups & essential facts and stats

Predicted line-ups:

Arsenal: Fabianski; Sagna, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Gibbs; Ramsey, Arteta; Ozil, Cazorla, Podolski; Giroud.

Alex Oxlade-Chambarlain and Jack Wilshere are slight doubts, but both are expected to reach full fitness by Saturday. Gnabry, Miyaichi, and Walcott are all sidelined due to injuries.

Hull: Harper; Bruce, Chester, Davies, Figueroa, Rosenior; Livermore, Huddlestone, Elmohamady; Boyd; Sagbo.

Shane Long and Nikica Jelavic are ineligible to play, while Robbie Brady, James Chester, and Sone Aluko are all struggling with injuries.

Betting Tip:

On paper this look like an easy win for Arsenal, an opportunity to finally put behind their dire years and lift silverware for the first time since 2005.

Arsenal have reached 18 FA Cup finals and won 10 of them, while Hull City finished 16th in the league and is a an FA final debutant at Wembley.

However, when the Gunners face Hull on Saturday, they will be reminded of last year’s Wigan upset over Manchester City, and of their own arrogance in 2011, when they managed to let the Carlin Cup final slip away against Birmingham.

Although Hull’s record against Arsenal this season falls short of impressive, having lost both games at home and at the Emirates, Steve Bruce’s men will be determined to emulate Wigan, who also managed to squeeze every bit of effort out of the Gunners in the semi-finals this year.

Prepare for a concentrated and calculated Arsene Wenger side to pursue an attacking strategy right from the get go, and place Hull under constant barrage, while the Tigers will attempt to close off the flanks and lurk for counter attacks.

Prediction: Arsenal 2 – Hull 1

Some essential facts to help with online betting:

Since the league was founded in 1888, there has been at least one top-flight side in every FA Cup final – both Arsenal and Hull overcame lower league opposition in the semi finals.

Arsene Wenger will be managing Arsenal for his 10th overall final ­and his sixth FA Cup final.

This will be Hull City’s first ever appearance in an FA Cup final – they will be the 57th different side to play in the final of this competition.

Arsenal have won two of their previous five FA Cup clashes with Hull City (drawing two and losing the other). Other than their meeting in 2009, they have not met in the competition since 1930.

The last seven FA Cup finals have been won by a single goal margin and produced just 11 goals.

The last six finals have been determined in normal time. The last final to require extra time was in 2007 when Chelsea beat Manchester Unietd. The last one to need penalties was in 2006 when Liverpool beat West Ham United in a spot-kick finish.

The Gunners have lifted the trophy on five of their last six appearances in the FA Cup final.
Just one of the last five debuting finalists have won the trophy, although that was Wigan Athletic last year.

Arsenal have scored 19 goals in their last eight matches against Hull City in all competitions.

Hull have scored just once in their last four clashes with Arsenal in all competitions.

Hull’s six games in the 2014 FA Cup have produced 20 goals in total.

Olivier Giroud has scored five goals in his last six FA Cup games, including three in four substitute appearances this season.

Lukas Podolski has scored four goals in five FA Cup games for Arsenal.